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Title: THE NIGERIA CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE AND INFLATION RATE: AN
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS |
Authors: Patrick, OLOGBENLA, Nigeria |
Abstract: The study examines the impact of inflation rate on current account balance in Nigeria between
1985 to 2020. The study adopted descriptive analysis, unit root test, Bound test, Autoregressive
Distributed Lags Analysis, (ARDL), Error Correction Cointegrating Model (ECCM), and other
post estimation tests such as Heteroskedasticity and Serial LM autocorrelation test. Based on the
findings from the study, it was discovered that that there were short-run and long-run relationships
between inflation rate and current account balance in Nigeria. It was also discovered that there was
a direct impact of inflation rate and other independent variables such as exchange rate, trade
openness, interest rate and gross capital formation on current account balance. However, the study
recommend that government should redesign monetary policy to support international trade to
address persistence leakages across all the country’s boarder. By so doing, the local investment
and productivity of goods and services would rise hence, inflation would fall to curb external
shocks.
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